Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.829079 20.755319 23.959702 27.722176 32.011683 36.742225 42.346641
2024-10-20 12.557731 16.420647 21.099434 27.150173 34.730889 43.874139 55.692607
2024-10-27 9.176063 13.187057 18.455052 25.807518 35.717932 48.514930 66.173565
2024-11-03 7.942110 12.315049 18.441581 27.520627 40.472090 58.091813 83.637266
2024-11-10 7.189151 11.901147 18.877005 29.751440 46.015740 69.116905 103.991979
2024-11-17 6.127137 10.797996 18.084727 29.997316 48.616372 76.134220 119.242863
2024-11-24 5.149503 9.633903 16.985934 29.554638 50.020752 81.397939 132.246759
2024-12-01 4.286715 8.497601 15.738993 28.657352 50.523081 85.218077 143.245863
2024-12-08 3.718899 7.776549 15.066876 28.586236 52.282208 91.056050 157.752135
2024-12-15 3.285288 7.225952 14.603770 28.788855 54.468485 97.694241 173.982244
2024-12-22 2.683400 6.236895 13.193797 27.100106 53.159547 98.361905 180.330115
2024-12-29 2.468515 6.002236 13.176232 27.973646 56.480821 107.125766 200.956876
2025-01-05 2.304745 5.875610 13.404809 29.448094 61.248398 119.144222 228.783039
2025-01-12 1.962362 5.290464 12.626820 28.862855 62.123751 124.408836 245.352953
2025-01-19 1.609708 4.604418 11.521706 27.447218 61.204098 126.275650 255.910933
2025-01-26 1.538721 4.599309 11.916916 29.259020 66.942963 141.123704 291.661128
2025-02-02 1.505352 4.684856 12.529870 31.616683 74.031694 159.112844 334.648411
2025-02-09 1.348026 4.403373 12.230553 31.876499 76.703164 168.631949 361.997320
2025-02-16 1.173221 4.032998 11.653011 31.408783 77.734544 174.922590 383.438748
2025-02-23 1.000981 3.628385 10.919352 30.460619 77.577074 178.728967 400.131596
2025-03-02 0.889323 3.383085 10.561946 30.385464 79.385215 186.756318 425.965219
2025-03-09 0.802223 3.195991 10.331728 30.599589 81.881461 196.426411 455.859837
2025-03-16 0.658710 2.780568 9.386454 28.814701 79.403202 195.077036 462.381615